Course Number: MGT 645
Zhiwu Chen
ICF
room 204, 46 Hillhouse Ave
203-432-5948
zhiwu.chen@yale.edu
TA: Steve Yun
Time and Place: Wednesday, 4:10 to 7:10, Room A-30
Assignments: Grades will be based on a project and two cases, with the project contributing 50% and the two cases each contributing 15% to the final grade. Class participation makes up the rest (20%). The project and the cases will be done in groups of 2, but no more than 3. For each case, two groups will be selected to do a presentation in class.
The course project involves four steps. Step 1: select
a stock return forecasting model (based on your own experience and
reading
of the literature, or based on your own research to select forecasting
factors). You may also do some back-testing of your strategy before
taking
the next step to make sure that you can have enough confidence in your
model and strategy. Step 2: form your equity
market-neutral
strategy, based on the risk factors that you select. Once you have done
this part, write a report summarizing your model's various aspects and
detailing your market-neutral portfolio's positions and risk profile.
You
want to write this first report as if you were trying to sell your
hedge
fund strategy to potential clients. This report is submitted as a first
part of the project. The portfolio positions should be e-mailed to our
TA in electronic format. Step 3: track your fund's daily
performance
on Yahoo finance or another website of your choice, and record the
performance
numbers. You should also track the daily changes in the market indices
that you may later need to evaluate your fund's performance. Before the
end of November, you can make changes to your portfolio positions. But,
if and when you make changes, there is a 0.5% transaction fee and also
you will need to e-mail your TA the changes. Step 4: evaluate
your
market-neutral strategy's performance based on the daily performance
from
Oct 7 to the end of November. We will use the S&P 500 and the
NASDAQ
Composite index as the two factors to take out the performance that is
due to systematic risk. After doing the performance evaluation, write a
second report summarizing the performance evaluation results and the
lessons
from the project. Then, turn in the second report. The group that has
the
highest risk-adjusted excess return will get a distinction for the
course.
Prsentation files for today: Introduction
and
introduction to hedge funds by Will Goetzmann
*For a summary of alpha generators used in the industry, see Added materials from CSFB
Formerly,
head of enterprise risk management, Caxton Associates; Chase Manhattan
Bank, responsible for portfolio market risk management, VaR
model, stress testing, market risk economic and regulatory capital;
Comptroller of the Currency,
responsible for evaluation of bank market risk
measurement systems; Commodity Futures Trading Commission, acting head
of economic research group
and project leader for OTC derivatives study; Ten years in academia
teaching and doing research in derivatives and risk
management. Check
out Barry Schachter's website: http://www.gloriamundi.org/
Here is Barry's
PPT file you can download.
*
Hedge
Funds and the Asian Currency Crisis of 1997 , Stephen J. Brown and
William N. Goetzmann.